Industry development and its impact analysis of the plastics industry
Industry development and its impact analysis of the plastics industry
In 2011, domestic plastic market is influenced by many factors, price centre of gravity is basically a downward trend, the Japanese earthquake, the Libyan conflict, the international situation lead to plastic industrial chain upstream of the international oil prices rise, restrict the development of the industry. What is the specific situation of domestic plastic market in 2011? Let's look at the analysis.
2011 domestic plastic market overview:
At the end of April, the market of plastic city plastic raw materials was first moderated, and in the case of empty and interwoven, the overall atmosphere was slightly quiet. On the one hand, high cost makes it difficult for the market to fall. The price of crude oil continues to be high, which is strong for market support. On the other hand, over time, demand pressure continues to increase. The downstream factories are generally underused, leading to a difficult market. Still, most market players are more peaceful.
In may and June, the market for plastic materials was blanketed by bearish factors, and the market began to decline in early may, forming the first drop point of the year. By the end of June, the price of both soft and hard glue had come down to a certain extent. Investigate its reason, mainly is restricted by weak demand, capital chain tension, multiple pressures such as electricity, many downstream products enterprise low capacity utilization, makes the end demand inevitably downward. In addition, the inventory pressure of China petroleum and sinopec has yet to be released, and the price reduction in the later period is to stimulate sales, but it has not played a positive role, which has caused the market bottom center of gravity to move downward. Under the influence of this, the market is bearish sentiment, traders actively reduce the risk of safe haven, individual to hang up the shipment.
In July, plastic city plastic raw material market broke the dull, deducting hot market, whether the price of soft glue or hard glue rose high. According to the analysis, the sales companies in the oil and gas regions of China and the manufacturers of sinopec and other companies have increased prices, and the strict control of supply is the direct cause of the opening of this round. At the same time, the device maintenance is concentrated in the third quarter, resource supply relatively tight, and because the previous downturn in the market has been more traders are basically not only leave or in increases with the increasing of into, after a slow consumption, shortage of some cultivars were all the more remarkable, is the main source of power of the market. Of course, the high price of oil and the constant rise of foreign monomers are fundamental support forces. But some market participants pointed out that the speculation is stronger, especially the petrochemical control is more obvious. However, in the end, because the cooperation of the downstream enterprises is not positive, the high price limits the volume of transactions, the actual transaction is not ideal.
From August to late November, the market for plastic materials weakened and the market fell back. Although since October, New York crude oil futures outshine others, volatile recently rose to one hundred yuan above threshold, and the downturn in the commodity market, but the game, not plastic. Whether soft or hard glue, prices have declined a certain degree.
First of all, the weak economic environment and the weak demand caused by it are the main reasons for the difficulty of the market. Second, due to the poor sales, petrochemical companies have cut their prices to speed up the market quotation. In addition, the industry is not confident, and fear of falling sentiment is also a pressure on the market. From the perspective of the development trend of December, the global six joint rescue, domestic central Banks lowered the deposit reserve rate and macro, such as electricity price rise, the market is expected to have staged rallies, but want to thoroughly get rid of the weak may still need time to cooperate. The market in December is expected to be mostly volatile.
Key words of 2011 domestic plastic market:
1. Popular search: the defending champion of the plastic machine has steadily increased
According to statistics, in 2010, the China plastics machinery industry gross value of industrial output, the output value of industry sales, new product production and export delivery value year-on-year growth in more than 60%, far more than the national machinery industry average of 34% growth.
From the latest automobil web search cases, plastic injection molding machine in a landslide occupies the top of the search, it shows the polymer composite plastics machinery "machine tools", the development of the whole plastic industry has obvious leverage leverage, a direct impact on the development of industries of national economy. And plastic products microflexion in the plastic machine industry for the second search. With the progress of the society, plastic products has become the necessities of modern life, although the society calls for low carbon, environmental protection, green, but the habit of life in long-term temporarily difficult to let people find new alternatives.
Engineering plastics, steam with plastics and modified plastics in the search volume stabilization, relative to the last month without too big change, to illustrate the three types of plastic stabilizing present development status, market demand and supply situation presents a state of relatively flat. Although the domestic plastic market is influenced by many factors, the influence of the upstream of the industrial chain is relatively lagging, and the current industry development in China is still healthy and orderly.
2. Supply situation: ABSPBT leads the market
In recent years, the consumption of modified ABS in China has grown rapidly and has become the world's largest consumer of modified ABS. And from the point of consumption structure, in recent years, the demand of the ABS market mainly concentrated in China household electrical appliances, office equipment, transportation of this a few big industry, the big industry of ABS consumption more than 80%, nearly 60% of household appliance field. And the related domestic industry developed rapidly, the demand of downstream of PBT resin increases year by year, the domestic enterprises are new or expansion, PBT, domestic production capacity from 08 172000 tons in 2010 to 262000 tons, the rapid development of date, PBT, domestic production capacity has reached 302000 tons, can be seen from the table, in the late of PBT, effective supply has been greatly improved. The supply of HDPE, POM, EVA, PMMA, injection molding PP, PET, PS and PPS is evenly split. Although the supply is limited by the market development, it still steadily rises, presenting a positive trend.
3. Request information: the plastic machine is still the leader
The development of the domestic plastic market requires not only the supply of raw materials, but also the excellent plastic machinery and molds. The plastic machinery production of plastic products is closely linked with the strategic emerging industry of high-tech products, such as carbon fiber used in the large aircraft fuselage, artificial heart bypass stents and other products are made by the modern machines. The importance of plastic machine is self-evident. As the market develops, a large number of new enterprises have mushroomed, and the demand for plastic machines is very large. But it is hard to ignore that China's plastic machinery industry has a trade deficit of nearly us $900 million in 2010. Imported high-end molding machine equipment and export mid-range asymmetric trade structure, causes our country is about three times the imports of plastic machinery equipment exports, but exports amount is only about 57% of the amount of import, export equipment average unit price is about 1/5 of the average unit price of imported equipment. Luo hui said, main problems of China plastics machinery industry are upscale product large gap compared with foreign advanced level, mainly in production efficiency, motors, miniaturization, large-scale equipment and automatic control level; The technology innovation ability is not strong, the core technology and the key technology are few, the self-development ability is insufficient.
Steady development of the plastics industry is closely related to the stability of the market and adequate raw materials, although the international situation and the influence of inflation for the plastics industry in our country are, which cannot be neglected in cases of shrinking profits rising fuel prices, companies will inevitably have some irrational behavior. However, with the constant adjustment of policy, China's plastic market has come out from the initial oil price panic, and the development presents a healthy state of balance between demand and supply. The market development of plastic products, plastic products and auxiliaries is the most flourishing. If the international domestic situation policy remains unchanged, the development of the short-term domestic plastic market will continue to stabilize.
Second, the upstream industry development trend forecast
The development direction of plastics can be summarized in two aspects. One is to improve the performance of the existing varieties by means of various methods to improve their comprehensive performance. The second is the development function, namely the development of the polymer materials with the physical functions such as light, electricity and magnetism, so that the plastic can have the photoelectric effect, the thermoelectric effect, the piezoelectric effect, etc.
At the current pace of world plastics development, Germany and Sweden are the top countries, while Japan and some countries in Europe are second and America is slower. At present, foreign plastic packaging presents the following trends:
Copolymer composite packaging film
The current European and American countries a large amount of investment in the development of non-polar, polar vinyl copolymer, etc., which will greatly improve the performance of plastic membrane stretched and co-extrusion and improve transparency, seal strength, resistance to stress, thermal fatigue, and enhance the stability, improve the molecular weight of cloth and extrusion rheological properties.
Foreign experts say: the world is the key of the development of plastic industry of plastic modification, plastic coating technology, rapid biodegradable plastic, waste and recycling of plastic composite technology. For example, some manufacturers in Europe and the United States have adopted the linear ethylene-alphaene copolymer and ethylene - vinyl acetate copolymer/PA bag for the packaging of ice cream, cream and other foods.
Multifunctional composite film
A large number of multi-functional composite films have been developed abroad to further refine their functions. For example: hardy film 20 ℃ - 18 ℃, -, - 35 ℃ low temperature environment; As a moisture-proof film for PP, the series of products can be divided into moisture-proof, anti-condensation, steaming, cold, adjustable water and other types. The anticorrosive membrane can be packed with perishable, high acidity and large sweet food; Friction film stacking stability; Chemical resistance and corrosion resistance of special PE films; Odorless repellent is added to the film. In the two-way stretch nylon 66 heat-resisting membrane instead of the two-way stretch nylon 6 packing food, the high temperature of 140 ℃; The new special food packaging film can improve the protection of food packaging. Non-crystalline nylon thin film transparency similar to glass; High shielding film can protect color, aroma, taste, nutrition index and the stability of taste quality. The metal protective film adopts LDPE modified film packaging liquid product, which can be heated in low temperature environment. The paper improves the light resistance, cold resistance, heat resistance, water resistance, moisture resistance, moisture resistance, anti - acidity, alkali resistance and impact resistance of the packaging.
